Temptations for Russia on the path of its revival

2024 Author: Seth Attwood | [email protected]. Last modified: 2023-12-16 15:55

In recent days, several news have passed that make one wonder how the development directions currently proposed for Russia correspond to its strategic (and conceptual) interests, and how to avoid unnecessary "baits" (there are many of them) so as not to turn off the right path.

The news itself:

1) American economist, ex-employee of the World Bank Peter Koenig spoke about the single Central Bank of BRICS and the single currency "Brixo";

2) In Moscow, at the international round table "Ways of overcoming the crisis of confidence in Europe" with the participation of parliamentarians from Russia, the CIS and the EU, Sergei Naryshkin proposed (apparently "jokingly") to exclude the United States from NATO, and Vladimir Zhirinovsky from NATO and the EU. Russia (knowing him, I suppose in earnest).

It seems to be two excellent reasons for patriotic joy, but let's not forget that in politics no one offers anything for nothing; everything has a price. And in this case, the default price will be the use of Russia's growing power in other people's interests.

Both of these news should be viewed not as a plan of action, but as a "forwarding of the topic" in order to assess its perception by the elite and the people. The question arises, where does such a revival of the discussion about the future possible actions of Russia in the international arena come from?

It is obvious that we are witnessing the destruction of the old world order based on the economic domination of the dollar system and the military-political domination of the United States (such a world order, in turn, is a stage in the centuries-old domination of the West). There is a struggle between various projects for building a new world order. Russia is now gaining strength (not so much military, but primarily political) center of international relations; hence the natural desire of various world players to involve it in the implementation of their project, to achieve their goals with its help.

Here Russia needs to pursue a very careful policy in order not to fall into the traps of supposed greatness. There are many such traps; let's analyze, for example, two of them, given at the beginning of the article.

Central Bank BRICS and Brixo

Its own currency and its own national Central Bank are necessary conditions for the economic and, accordingly, political independence of the state:

- Currency is the "circulatory system" of the economy; if there is an excess of it, inflation starts, if there is a lack of it, the development slows down and even a recession. Consequently, if the state does not fully control its currency, then from the outside it is possible to cause either inflation or a crisis with subsequent social and political consequences for the country.

- The Central Bank regulates currency circulation and the activities of the banking system, being its governing body. What will happen if these functions are transferred not to the national, but to the supranational Central Bank? - there will be a loss of control over their own currency and the banking system, or rather the transfer of control into the wrong hands.

The most striking example of what the loss of economic independence can lead to due to the abandonment of its own currency and the Central Bank are the peripheral countries of the EU (Greece, Cyprus, Ireland, Portugal, Spain), which are in a prolonged crisis and are forced to take all measures dictated by the European Central Bank, to the detriment of their own interests.

Also, countries cannot be considered independent that either pegged their currencies to the dollar or euro, or completely switched over to them in internal circulation.

What is behind the proposal to create a common BRICS Central Bank and a single currency? On the surface - the creation of the world's most powerful financial system, which will subjugate the rest of the world, including the West. What is in reality?

It is important to understand that the proposal does not come from the official representatives of the BRICS countries, but from a former employee of the World Bank; it is unlikely that the “former” employee began to act against the interests of his “former” employer. Most likely, this is a long-term strategy with an eye on the fact that the current "world financiers" in the future will keep the management of the world financial system in their hands under the "guise" of another organization (and they will not borrow resources and skills for this business). Thus, if Russia follows this path, it will be at the mercy of these very "world" financiers.

Russia's accession to the EU and NATO

In fact, the voiced idea of Russia's joining the EU and NATO is the idea of Russia's joining the existing (!) European structures. That is, Russia will undertake to act according to European (!) Rules. In essence, this is the idea that Russia should become a subordinate country in a “common European home”, and in exchange Europe formally recognizes it as a “European state” (the dream of liberals, in a word). So "accession" is another "trap", and the phrase about the exclusion of the United States from NATO is a "bait" for "patriots".

Trap projects for Russia

There are similar "trap" projects within Russia and are often tied to external interests. They were analyzed in the article "Temptations for Russia on the Path of its Revival". Let's summarize what traps (both internal and external) are set in front of the country at the present time, and how they are dangerous:

- USSR 2.0 (several options)

- Monarchy-Empire (also several options)

- Eurasian Union (one option)

- The Orthodox state (here it is important to understand that religion should be a way for dialogue with God, and not a state ideology; moreover, there is more than one religion in Russia)

- Russian nation state (several options)

- Fascist All-European Union (with Russia)

- The existing EU with the inclusion of Russia

- BRICS, controlled by the "world financiers"

-… (the list can be continued)

Each of these projects is attractive in its own way and has many supporters. However, they all have one huge flaw in common: they offer ways to build a Russia that is strong in the international arena, but completely bypass the question of what the internal structure of Russian society will be. Thus, we can conclude that they all imply the preservation of such a system in which a semi-hereditary "elite" (and somewhere hereditary) rules the "crowd." Simply put, the preservation of social (and hence property) inequality. (Only the project for the revival of the USSR speaks of social justice, but it seems that its initiators want to return not Stalin's Soviet Union, but Brezhnev's Soviet Union with its division into "hard workers" and "nomenklatura", that is, with the same inequality.)

The image of the future Russia

The examples shown show that on the way of building a truly just society, which the majority of Russians dream of (largely unconsciously, without specifics), the country will have to go between the Charybdis of external "trap" projects and the Scylla of internal ones; even between several "charybds" and "scyllas". All of them are projects of building a strong Russia at the expense of its people, but not for the people. In this regard, they are more likely even "sirens", as they lure, influencing the feeling of pride in the country - they know what to take a Russian person for.

What path has Russia now embarked on, and from which it must try not to deviate:

1) The internal structure of the state must guarantee:

- opportunities for spiritual, intellectual and physical development of a person;

- social justice for everyone;

- harmony in interethnic relations.

2) Position in the world - a leader in the following areas:

- Ideological (this is the most important thing). The Russian concept of a just structure of international relations, and not the existing one, based on the right of the strong to rob the rest (Western). When Russia joins NATO and the EU, it will be possible to forget about ideological leadership (and, consequently, other).

- Military. Not in terms of quantity, but in terms of the quality of weapons. And our military spirit has always been the strongest (but this requires the internal structure of the state, which we would like to defend).

- Economic. We will not become the leader in terms of GDP due to the size of the population; China and India have an advantage here. But a leader is not necessarily the largest economy; you can be one by securing the first positions in the technological (you have to try) and energy (this is) spheres. Thus, other countries, even larger in terms of population and economy, will be dependent on our technologies and energy resources.

- International diplomatic. Russia as a center of international unions, as a "judge" who can find a solution to contradictions between other countries. Such unions are now the SCO and BRICS; in the future, an alliance with European countries, but not in the form of joining the existing structures of the EU, but the creation of a new structure based on new (Russian) principles. And the message for this has already been made from Europe - the French journalist called Putin the Russian de Gaulle, who at one time also dreamed of a united Europe together with the Soviet Union.

3) Creation of a "circle" of closest allies from countries that were previously part of the Russian Empire and the USSR. The economic (EurasEc) and military-political (CSTO) structures have already been created.

Another misconception

The opinion is often expressed that Russia does not need an active international policy, that it is necessary to “simply” deal with the internal arrangement. Unfortunately, Russia, due to its vastness and importance and its inability and unwillingness to obey, has always been and will be an irritant for those forces that strive for world domination. Therefore, inside we will not have order until there is a stable position in the international arena. Examples: The First World War led to the fall of the Russian Empire, "Afghan" largely contributed to the destruction of the USSR.

A way to counteract trap projects

In order not to deviate from the right path, it is necessary to deprive the listed "trap" projects of any popular support. To do this, everyone should carefully listen to what the various "preachers" tell us, and analyze what is behind their words and what they are silent about.

The danger is that many of them are ardent (and sincere) patriots; their rhetoric “warms the soul” of a patriotic person. But often their actions, for which they call, lead to such traps.

Conclusion

Russia has always wanted to use:

- when it was weak, they tried to bring its resources under control and "split off" its territory;

- when she was strong, she attracted her power for purposes alien to her (see the history of many European wars of the 18-19th centuries).

The last decades we were in the first scheme, now they want to drag us into the second (for the umpteenth time). And here the recent statement of Vladimir Putin pleases: "We are not threatening anyone and are not going to get involved in any geopolitical games, intrigues, and even more so conflicts, no matter who and who would like to drag us there." This is an answer to all "designers" that their intentions are clear and Russia will not succumb to them. It will pursue an independent policy and stand "above conflicts", thereby confirming its leadership in the world.

Anton Prosvirnin