Creepy Coronavirus Statistics - WHAT IS WRONG?

2024 Author: Seth Attwood | [email protected]. Last modified: 2023-12-16 15:55

In the past, the releases talked about the fact that the coronavirus was created in a laboratory, and now about the statistics on it - how reliable are they?

The strangest figure is the number of infected.

Because they use different counting systems everywhere. Some purposefully examine all patients with signs of acute respiratory viral infections, others look at only the most severe ones, still others - the deceased, the fourth - risk groups, the fifth study small groups of random people. And nowhere do they examine all citizens in a row. Plus, in many countries or regions, they simply have not tested for COVID-19 due to the lack of tests.

It would seem that a much more accurate characteristic is the number of deaths of patients with coronavirus. But here, too, options are possible that significantly change the picture, because in the group of the dead - OT - coronavirus, in some places the dead - C - coronavirus are brought in. For example, the death of Francisco García: Spanish football coach dies of coronavirus at the age of 21. Newspaper headlines like this came out all over the world. However, it soon became clear that the unfortunate young man, having been admitted to the hospital with symptoms of acute respiratory viral infections and pneumonia, was ill with leukemia, which he did not even know about. Leukemia, among other things, causes extreme vulnerability to any kind of infection. But he added to the statistics of victims of the coronavirus.

Also, at first in Moscow, a patient suffering from a variety of chronic diseases was included in the victims of the coronavirus. And she died from a detached blood clot. Then the coronavirus was no longer considered the cause of her death. In other countries, very often, any deceased person replenishes the statistics of epidemic victims simply by the presence of coronavirus in his body. Regardless of the impact on health. But these two approaches will give completely different numbers.

The situation is aggravated by the fact that people do not understand the difference between mortality from infection in a population and the mortality of the infection itself. The speed of detection of those infected with the virus and the real dynamics of the process are perceived in the same way. Even the WHO has already written that the real mortality rate from infection is lower than that identified at the moment. And pure mathematics says the same thing. If the dead are detected reliably enough, then the number of those infected is very unreliable. The latter, of course, are much more numerous.

Indeed, the vast majority of the infection is mild, and sometimes asymptomatic. Remember if you were sick for the last three months? And even if you don’t remember, all the same, taking into account the asymptomatic nature, you could have been ill and recovered, you just didn’t do the tests. According to statistics, this means only one thing - that the mortality rate is significantly overestimated. This is not virology, but mathematics.

Mortality (%) = (Deceased / Infected) * 100

If in the mortality equation the number of infected people is an order of magnitude less, then the total mortality will be unambiguously exaggerated. But how, then, to understand the degree of danger of coronavirus? The degree of danger from the point of view of statistics can be determined only in comparison with the "normal" mortality rate of previous years. Let's try to compare two other comparable and quite reliable characteristics - the level of total mortality from all diseases in previous years and for this year. If a surge is clearly visible this year, then it can be said that this is a new threat of an extreme degree.

But so far such a surge has not been seen. Moreover, on a global scale around the world and for the whole year it will not be noticeable, since more than 57 million people die on the planet every year, and since December 19, only 16 thousand coronavirus victims have been registered. This is three hundredths of a percent of 0.03% of the total number of deaths. It would seem that the analysis of the available statistics gives absolutely no reason to expect the apocalypse. But after all, we all see news from Italy, where, judging by what they write in the media and social networks, everything is very serious and tragic: more than 6 thousand deaths with approximately 60 thousand infected. This gives a monstrously high mortality rate of 9-10%. This is not the case in any country. For example, in Germany, the death rate is 0.25% (twenty-five hundredths of a percent), which broadly corresponds to the level of risk from seasonal flu.

But viruses do not kill on a national basis, they cannot bypass the Germans and grab a stranglehold on every tenth Italian.

What's the catch?

Let's pay attention to the key points of what the surgeon of the hospital in Bergamo, Daniel Macchini, who is at the epicenter of events, writes. “With a share of amazement, I watched the reorganization of our hospital before the enemy was so strong. The wards were freed up for new patients, the intensive care unit was expanded. The admission department was re-equipped to reduce the spread of infection. There was a surreal silence in the empty corridors. It was as if we were preparing for war."