It was, it was. 17 years with Putin point by point

2024 Author: Seth Attwood | [email protected]. Last modified: 2023-12-16 15:55

There is a propaganda campaign on the Internet called "17 Years with Putin", performed according to the "was-now" scheme. Let's start with the first, i.e. with GDP. It was 2 trillion. $, and it became 3.7 trillion. The growth was an impressive 82%. Merit Putin? For understanding, we look at the graph of the dynamics of GDP and oil prices:

And we see an absolute correlation between GDP and oil prices. If it is solely merit Putin, then why does GDP fall every time after a fall in prices? Or did Putin go on vacation at this time?

Second point. Pensions and salaries

Growth according to agitation 10 and 5 times. Let's look at the real incomes of the population, cleared of inflation since 2000:

And we see a much more modest growth of 2, 4 times in 16 years. Plus, we see the familiar dependence on the rise in oil prices. Plus, do not forget that inflation is constantly underestimated when Putin … This means that the real growth of real income is definitely less than 2, 4 times.

Third point. Fertility

The birth rate has really grown during this time. Is it only merit Putin? We look at the birth rates of Russia, Ukraine and Belarus in one graph:

And we see exactly the same growth in all three republics of the former USSR. Moreover, the growth of Central Russia (CFD), neighboring with Belarus and Ukraine, is rather modest. in the Russian Federation mainly give birth to national republics. There is only one reason for this overall rise - the demographic echo of the rise in fertility in the 1980s. So merit Putinhere is minimal. Now that the echo is over, the birth rate has gone down sharply:

Agitation in vain To Putinattributed, otherwise it turns out that in 2016-17 Putinagain went on vacation for a long time and the birth rate went down.

Point four. Mortality

Mortality actually dropped during this time. True, it fell everywhere in the CIS, even where Putindoes not rule. But there is one significant "but" in this - mortality at Putin can't reach the level of the 80s in any way:

Despite all the progress in medicine. This means that the socio-economic policy Putin continues to claim about 300 thousand lives every year in the form of supermortality.

The fifth point. Life expectancy

First, here we are talking about the estimated number of expected life years for babies born this year, that is, about life expectancy. It really grew and surpassed the best Soviet indicators of the 80s:

The growth was due to a significant decrease in mortality in infants and children:

It means that Putin simply brought infant mortality back into the Soviet-era trend in line with medical advances.

There is also one significant "but" about which the agitators for Putin - mortality at the working age from 15 to 65 is still higher than the Soviet indicators:

But he could not return adult mortality to Soviet indicators. Apparently again Putin went on vacation.

The sixth point. Length of roads

The growth, according to the agitation, was an incredible 157%. Well, here is the well-known and long-discovered snag. First, to understand, we look at the dynamics of the construction of paved roads:

We see that for Putin the construction of such roads has plummeted. Then why such incredible growth? We have before us a typical manipulation, taking into account the construction of roads. So since 2006, the methods of classification and accounting of roads have changed. By the joint efforts of builders and methodologists, the length of paved roads increased in the Russian Federation in 2006–2010. by 62 thousand km, although during the same years it was built and reconstructed four times less - 14, 8 thousand km. In other words, some of the previously abandoned roads were recognized as suitable for use, and some part of the roads was re-qualified as hard-surface roads, which were not previously considered as such.

Since 2010, the length of Russian hard-surface roads began to include local roads, and since 2012, streets. As a result, for 2010–2012. the officially announced length of roads increased by 264 thousand km, while 33 times less were built - only 8 thousand km.

That is, the roads recorded what were not considered roads before, even city streets. Hence such incredible growth with much less real construction.

The last point. Cars

I am aware that among the Putriots, a private car is considered a sign of an incredible increase in the well-being of Russians. This was the case in the days of the USSR, but 27 years have passed since the time of the USSR, and now considering a car a sign of wealth is the same as considering a moped or a motorcycle as a sign of wealth in Soviet times. Moreover, the main passenger car of Russians is Lada 6 and 7 models.

But look at the numbers:

And we see that growth accelerated after 2005, that is, after the rise in oil prices. Before that, there was a continuation of the Soviet dynamics.

Merit Putin one could consider the development of our car industry and its competitiveness, but alas, under it our car industry only died away, moving from completely its production to the screwdriver assembly of car kits produced in third countries. For example, in such as Turkey and Romania.

And so all the bullshit is visible on the graph of the production of their bearings and machine tools:

Production of metal-cutting machine tools in Russia fell from 8, 89 thousand pieces in 2000 to 3, 86 thousand pieces in 2017 (2, 3 times!)

Production of rolling bearings in russia fell from 257 million units. in 2000 up to 45, 8 million units in 2017 (5, 61 times!)