Bypassing the obvious: How do modern wars begin and why are they fought?

2024 Author: Seth Attwood | [email protected]. Last modified: 2023-12-16 15:55

At first glance, these are trivial questions behind which lie the intricacies of national interests, the struggle of the elites, an attempt to solve world political problems by military means. But, as a rule, the beginning of an armed conflict is accompanied by a certain period of growth of political tension in relations between the parties, mutual claims and ultimatums.

And sometimes ordinary provocations are used (the notorious Belli incident) to start an open military confrontation.

However, the current trend in international relations is increasingly leaning towards the overt diktat of the world hegemon in relation to the victim of aggression chosen by him. At the same time, the lack of evidence and open trampling on common sense do not in the least confuse the "champions of Western democracy" in their desire to impose on the world community the image of an enemy in the person of their chosen victim. This victim shamelessly, with a gross violation of moral norms and universal values, is "dehumanized" by the corrupt Western media, is taken out of the hands of the hands, becomes an outcast … This attitude has recently been increasingly applied to Russia, starting with the poisoning of Litvinenko with polonium and ending with the case of the Skripals poisoning …

And this trend is only only "exacerbated" after the United States suddenly discovered that Russia was not defeated by the results of the Cold War, but was reviving with new economic and military potential, extremely dangerous for the hegemon and his world politics. That Russia is quite capable of winning in the era of a high-tech arms race, and the Syrian war is a vivid confirmation of this, and the ever-increasing economic sanctions do not lead to the desired collapse of the Russian economy. Moreover, the international authority of the Russian Federation is gaining more and more strength, and weapons, especially missile defense / air defense systems, small arms, aircraft, tanks, are in high demand even among members of the North Atlantic Alliance and Arab sheikhs - traditional buyers of the products of the American defense complex.

Therefore, once discovering that competitors are stepping on their heels, the Yankees were extremely alarmed that claims to world domination must be confirmed not only by economic credentials, but also by indisputable leadership in the military sphere … And it was here that it turned out that “the king is naked ! Passion for exotic types and systems of weapons, which required colossal costs, did not give the desired results, and traditional weapons systems were not updated for 30-40 years and have exhausted their modernization resource. This also applies to the triad of strategic nuclear forces and conventional weapons. And this while competitors are already successfully mastering hypersonic and laser weapons, UAVs and PBAs based on a small-sized nuclear power plant, which gives unlimited range and fantastic possibilities in terms of application methods.

Do not forget about another global trend. The world is becoming more and more multipolar, despite the desperate attempts of the United States to retain its role as the sole arbiter of the destinies of mankind. And the main obstacle to maintaining the status quo turned out to be the Russian Federation and the PRC. Therefore, in order to destabilize its main competitors, the White House administration made efforts to organize a "flight of capital from Southeast Asia" and return it to its homeland, to the States. An unprecedented hysteria was organized around the DPRK and its nuclear program. Two aircraft carriers headed to the shores of North Korea at once, hoping to scare the Korean leadership. However, the effect was just the opposite! The DPRK has declared its readiness to launch a nuclear strike on bases and even on the territory of the United States in the event of an attack on the Democratic People's Republic of Korea. The world froze in anticipation of a great military adventure with marginal stakes for both players …

However, after calculating all the pros and cons, Trump was blown away and backed down. He began to look for ways of a peaceful solution to the Korean nuclear problem. After that, all the world's players understood: the Yankees, like gopniks, respect and fear only force, preferably in unlimited quantities!

But this was a secondary front in the struggle for world leadership. Against its main competitors, Washington first prepared a withdrawal from the ABM Treaty, and then from the INF Treaty … And so our overseas partners could not imagine that Russia would so quickly find an asymmetric response to their movements without getting involved in the arms race. This caused deep concern among our counterparts. But the Yankees, as follows from the numerous statements of the Washington establishment, do not intend to leave unanswered our steps to consolidate the leadership of the world's leading rifle power. This resulted in calls for an immediate (until they gained strength!) Military attack on the ships and aircraft of Russia, and the leak through the holes of the "Swiss" cheese of the American Trojan horse, and other exotic trends up to the disconnection of the Internet, etc.

So what can an overseas "partner" actually undertake, to spite these Russians more abruptly and force them to follow the lead of a new round of the arms race?

1. Undoubtedly, this will result in a military confrontation between the United States and the Russian Federation. Moreover, it will be most acutely manifested in technologically advanced areas, such as space, missile defense / air defense / electronic warfare systems, naval weapons and aviation.

2. The States will certainly continue to increase the sanctions pressure on the Russian economy. Perhaps even direct pressure on the financial and credit system of the state.

3. The policy of increasingly restricting the access of Russian manufacturers to modern technologies and achievements of science and technology will be continued.

4. They will impose a stricter ban on companies with the participation of American capital for the sale, commercial and other activities in the Russian market.

On the international arena, the campaign of fake action about (and without it) for slandering and slandering everything Russian will continue. All Russian and pro-Russian media will be systematically squeezed out of the media space …

To split the European society, an attempt will be made to deploy the MRBM in a country, for example, the Republic of Poland, possibly in the Baltic countries. But there is no doubt that an additional contingent of NATO forces and heavy equipment of the alliance will be deployed there. Poland is already ready to pay 2 billion dollars. for the quartering of the American division on its territory. And all this, slowly but systematically, will bring us closer to the so-called "D" day.

So how do you know when this mysterious and terrible D-Day is coming?

And everything is very simple. This will be "evidenced" by a number of so-called. reconnaissance signs indicating that the enemy is carrying out a set of measures to strike at enemy forces. And the most significant of them will be:

- supply of means of nuclear destruction to the carriers. Not a single sane US or NATO commander will fight a nuclear power without the use of UBS;

- transfer of communications, radar and control to wartime frequencies. Change of time code delays for radio navigation and orientation systems;

- leaving the ports of the state by ships and transports without termination of loading and unloading activities, registration of customs and other documents, etc.

- sudden shutdown of satellite communications, navigation, meteorological, repeaters, etc.

- disruption of the flight schedule of foreign airlines without explaining the reasons …

- blocking the functioning of the credit and emission system and the operation of bank cards of the population … and others.

At the same time, previously significant reconnaissance signs become not particularly relevant, such as: dispersal of enemy forces, the advancement of his strike groups into combat areas, the deployment of groups to ensure the combat stability of strike forces, etc. All this, as a rule, is sacrificed to the surprise of the first strike, or is carried out during the deployment of the strike forces in the RBP. The main reason lies in the fact that the enemy is able to fulfill the tasks of the first strike with the composition of peacetime groupings, without building up the forces of the BMD and BS.

At the same time, there is a massive attack along the line of electronic countermeasures and suppression of the REM of the attacked side. Blinding EMU, high-altitude nuclear explosives, sighting interference, etc. can be used. in order to deprive the enemy of control and communications, navigation and orientation aids, topographic location …

For a clear planning of the first strike, it is necessary to know with a high degree of certainty the time standards for decision-making by the enemy's command, the level of maturity of its headquarters and military command and control bodies, the degree of decision-making automation (capabilities of the ACS / BIUS / KSBU), the decision-making protocol at the beginning of the database with the use of weapons of mass destruction.

All this is not easy, therefore it requires a colossal amount of work by intelligence, analysts, planning authorities.

And still How would I launch an attack on an invincible fortress called Gardarika?

1. A 7-10 day operation is needed to disorganize, disorient and mislead the country's top leadership. For this, tension is created in the secondary area of application of efforts. For example, border breakouts in the Central Asian section of the border, etc.

2. Sabotage in transport and power supply systems, communications under the guise of household gas explosions, etc.

3. Arson of super- and hypermarkets, sabotage at railway junctions, bridges, overpasses.

4. Sending the DRG to the zones of action of the stations of the early warning system, ZGRLS PV, with the task of holding the action for D-1.

5. Inflicting covert strikes behind the D-1 on all tracked and newly discovered nuclear-powered ships of the Russian Federation, regardless of class (RPKSN or PLA-PLARK).

6. On day "D" launch of "meteorological missiles" with the conduct of an IYA over the area of overflight of the EHV and ICBMs. With a simultaneous strike by the KRBD from under the AO cap in the area of the Kara Sea and the Laptev Sea by forces of 2-3 x Ohio SSBNs. And the launch of SLBMs with SSBNs from the waters of the Norwegian and Barents seas. As well as the available composition of the BS and BD forces of the remaining SSBNs. In 10-15 minutes - launch of 400 Minuteman ICBMs 2. The remaining 50 - for additional reconnaissance targets.

7. After that, the SAC and ABM plan is put into effect to repel a retaliatory strike …

However, the implementation of such an essentially "lightweight" plan of attack on Gardarica is likely to run into preemptive actions by its Armed Forces and the military-political leadership to disrupt the "Mission Schedule …" by issuing an ultimatum and actions to preempt the enemy's measures.

In addition to our triad of strategic nuclear forces and everything else, the systems "Perimeter" and "Poseidon" should enlighten excessively nimble cowboys, even if a harness gets under the saddle!

And finally, the direct appeal to the governments and peoples of the world by the leadership of Gardariki, I hope, will become an insurmountable wall for fans of military adventures to play with the fate of the world.